Bastia vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
AMI
0 - 0
BAS
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 1
AUX
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
BAS
30%
28%
43%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 0
DUN
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
AJA
0 - 1
BAS
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 4
TFC
22%
26%
53%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NÎM
0 - 2
GUI
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
GUI
3 - 1
ASN
51%
25%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 1
GUI
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 1
QUE
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |