Bastia vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 0
ASN
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 0
BAS
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
TFC
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 0
BAS
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 3
BAS
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
LOR
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TFC
2 - 1
GUI
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 1
MPL
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ASN
0 - 2
GUI
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |