Bastia vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LIL
2 - 1
BAS
53%
27%
21%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 2
ANG
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
GAZ
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 0
BAS
41%
28%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 0
GUI
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LYO
1 - 3
GUI
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
LIL
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
GUI
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 0
GUI
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
LOR
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |