Bastia vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
LEN
2 - 1
BAS
34%
24%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
GIR
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
ETG
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
MPL
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 1
PSG
14%
21%
66%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
CON
2 - 3
GUI
12%
21%
67%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 0
GUI
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 0
ASS
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
BOU
0 - 2
GUI
22%
25%
54%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |