Bastia vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
NAN
3 - 1
BAS
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 4
DIJ
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
STL
1 - 1
BAS
67%
21%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 0
MET
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
NÎM
2 - 1
BAS
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
GUI
0 - 0
BRE
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
CAE
2 - 0
GUI
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
USB
1 - 0
GUI
48%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
GUI
2 - 2
TOU
48%
28%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
VAN
2 - 2
GUI
40%
29%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |