Bastia vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
CLE
2 - 0
BAS
20%
28%
52%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 0
STL
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 0
AGD
86%
11%
3%
|
80 | 42 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 0
VAL
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 2
BAS
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
GUI
0 - 0
LUS
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
FCG
1 - 0
GUI
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
GUI
0 - 0
CAE
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
GRE
0 - 0
GUI
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
GUI
1 - 1
LMU
45%
26%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |