Bastia vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
NAN
1 - 0
BAS
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
BAS
1 - 3
LEN
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
ASS
2 - 1
BAS
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
REI
1 - 0
BAS
14%
22%
64%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
BAS
2 - 2
TRO
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
GUI
1 - 3
MET
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
SED
2 - 2
GUI
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
GUI
1 - 6
REN
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
STR
0 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
GUI
0 - 1
LIL
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |