Bastia vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
FCG
1 - 0
BAS
31%
29%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
BLE
1 - 0
BAS
11%
21%
68%
|
79 | 15 | 64 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
BAS
0 - 0
ASS
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
MON
0 - 0
BAS
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
LHA
1 - 0
BAS
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
GUI
3 - 0
ASS
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
NIO
2 - 2
GUI
20%
27%
53%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
GIR
2 - 0
GUI
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
NAN
2 - 3
GUI
84%
11%
5%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
GUI
0 - 1
LIL
52%
27%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |