Europa League Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Bastia vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
STL
0 - 1
BAS
28%
23%
49%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
BAS
3 - 1
LEN
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
BAS
6 - 0
TRO
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
GCZ
3 - 2
BAS
64%
18%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
NÎM
2 - 0
BAS
31%
26%
42%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
GCZ
0 - 0
LAU
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
SIO
1 - 1
GCZ
31%
23%
46%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
GCZ
3 - 2
BAS
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
BAS
2 - 5
GCZ
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
GCZ
0 - 1
SER
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |