Bastia vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2007 |
BRE
3 - 1
BAS
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
CLE
2 - 3
BAS
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 2
LHA
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2007 |
BAS
4 - 1
IST
60%
23%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2007 |
FCG
4 - 2
BAS
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
FCG
3 - 1
CHA
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
SED
3 - 1
FCG
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2007 |
FCG
1 - 2
AMI
36%
28%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2007 |
MET
1 - 2
FCG
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2007 |
FCG
4 - 2
BAS
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |