Bastia vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
MPL
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
ETG
2 - 1
BAS
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LIL
2 - 1
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 3
LYO
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
BAS
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
NIC
3 - 1
ETG
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
ETG
2 - 1
BAS
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ETG
1 - 1
REI
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
ETG
2 - 0
PSG
17%
22%
61%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
ETG
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |