Bastia vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
20.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
AJA
0 - 1
BAS
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 1
VAL
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
BAS
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 0
DIJ
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
LHA
2 - 4
BAS
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
PAU
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 0
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
DIJ
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ASN
2 - 0
DUN
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
ROD
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |