Bastia vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
GUI
2 - 5
BAS
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 0
CAN
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
STR
1 - 1
BAS
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BAS
4 - 2
BAY
74%
18%
8%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
FCR
0 - 1
BAS
28%
28%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
NIO
1 - 0
GUI
25%
28%
47%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 0
NIO
53%
26%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
NIO
0 - 2
STR
31%
27%
41%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
AMI
2 - 1
NIO
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
BAY
2 - 1
NIO
29%
30%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |