Bastia vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
NIC
30%
28%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ASN
1 - 0
BAS
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
PSG
7 - 0
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 2
MAR
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
REN
1 - 2
BAS
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
NAN
1 - 0
CAE
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAE
3 - 2
LYO
15%
22%
63%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
STG
0 - 3
CAE
5%
12%
83%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
CAE
76%
16%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 0
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |