Bastia vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
STR
1 - 3
BAS
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 0
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
GIR
3 - 1
BAS
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
BAS
0 - 0
LIL
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
NIC
1 - 1
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
CAE
0 - 0
REN
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1996 |
AUX
2 - 0
CAE
72%
18%
9%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
CAE
0 - 0
MET
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
LHA
1 - 1
CAE
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
CAE
1 - 1
LYO
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |