Bastia vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
38.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1985 |
BAS
2 - 0
STR
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
MET
3 - 0
BAS
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1985 |
BAS
0 - 0
MON
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1985 |
SOC
2 - 0
BAS
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1985 |
BAS
2 - 1
SPO
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1985 |
AUX
3 - 2
SOC
55%
25%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
REN
4 - 1
AUX
37%
28%
34%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1985 |
AUX
0 - 1
PSG
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1985 |
ASN
1 - 0
AUX
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1985 |
AUX
1 - 2
BRE
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |