Bastia vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
NIC
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
PSG
4 - 0
BAS
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 1
LOR
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ASS
2 - 2
BAS
62%
22%
15%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
MON
3 - 0
BAS
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 1
AJA
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 1
NAN
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LIL
3 - 0
AJA
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
MPL
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 1
LYO
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |