Bastia vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
SED
1 - 0
BAS
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
LHA
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
ARL
1 - 0
BAS
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 1
CHA
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
GUI
1 - 1
BAS
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 0
NÎM
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
IST
0 - 2
AJA
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 0
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
VAN
0 - 3
AJA
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 2
TOU
38%
29%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |