Bastia vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
REI
1 - 2
BAS
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
USB
2 - 0
BAS
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 1
GUI
54%
26%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
PSG
2 - 1
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
DIJ
2 - 1
BAS
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
AJA
1 - 1
BRE
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
CLE
2 - 0
AJA
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
AJA
0 - 1
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
LHA
2 - 0
AJA
54%
27%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
AJA
0 - 0
REI
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |