Bastia vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 0
TFC
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
LMU
1 - 1
BAS
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
BAS
3 - 1
LEN
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
3 - 1
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 0
SOC
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 2
NIC
38%
29%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 0
PSG
26%
29%
46%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
LIL
0 - 0
AJA
60%
25%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 4
LYO
18%
25%
57%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
GIR
1 - 0
AJA
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |