Bastia vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.3%
+5
3.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
20.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.3%
+2
24.7%
1-0
20.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
26.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
<0%
0
16.5%
4%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SCR
1 - 1
BAS
12%
24%
64%
|
72 | 33 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
LEP
79%
17%
4%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
GIR
2 - 0
BAS
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAS
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 0
LOR
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
AJA
5 - 2
VIL
54%
20%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GEM
3 - 3
AJA
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
AJA
0 - 0
LUC
52%
20%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 0
AJA
76%
17%
7%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SCR
1 - 2
AJA
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |