Bastia U19 vs Ajaccio U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
53.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
7º
12º
8º
41
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
BEZ
0 - 0
BAS
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 0
MON
25%
23%
53%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
BAS
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 0
OLY
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BLA
0 - 3
BAS
15%
17%
68%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 1
ETI
35%
24%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 0
BEZ
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
AJA
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 0
MON
23%
20%
57%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 0
AJA
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |