Bastia II vs Stade Raphaëlois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
52.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
TRI
2 - 1
BAS
49%
24%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
NIM
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
LEP
1 - 0
BAS
68%
20%
12%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 1
NIC
17%
25%
59%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Raphaëlois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SRA
1 - 0
NIC
39%
27%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
COR
0 - 1
SRA
29%
26%
46%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
SRA
0 - 0
UZE
57%
22%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 1
SRA
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
SRA
0 - 0
CON
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |