Bastia II vs Neuilly Sur Marne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
10º
29
3º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 1
SML
29%
23%
47%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
IVR
2 - 1
BAS
34%
23%
42%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 0
SAR
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
BAS
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VTR
1 - 4
BAS
43%
22%
35%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Neuilly Sur Marne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
AJA
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ORL
2 - 1
NEU
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 2
MAI
42%
22%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 0
NEU
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
SML
14%
19%
67%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | +5 |