Bastia II vs Saint-Ouen-l'Aumône analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 0
POI
31%
25%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
STG
1 - 1
BAS
55%
24%
22%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
GON
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FUR
0 - 1
BAS
27%
22%
51%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 0
LEH
34%
26%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Ouen-l'Aumône
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SAI
0 - 0
STG
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GON
2 - 1
SAI
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SAI
1 - 1
FUR
69%
17%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LEH
0 - 0
SAI
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SAI
1 - 1
QUE
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |