Bastia II vs QRM II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAI
3 - 1
BAS
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
NOI
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 4
BAS
23%
24%
52%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
AMI
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
QUE
4 - 5
ARR
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
NOI
1 - 3
QUE
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
QUE
6 - 1
MAR
31%
24%
46%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AMI
0 - 0
QUE
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
QUE
2 - 0
GRA
24%
25%
51%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +3 |