Bastia II vs Paris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 0
BEA
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NOI
0 - 2
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 2
SAN
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
AMN
1 - 0
BAS
29%
24%
48%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 1
FLE
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
NOI
0 - 0
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 1
AMN
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 2
OIS
36%
25%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
STG
1 - 2
PAR
69%
19%
13%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |