Bastia II vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
58.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
UZE
4 - 1
BAS
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 3
ROM
29%
26%
46%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
CON
1 - 0
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 1
GAR
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SCR
2 - 0
BAS
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
COR
2 - 3
NIC
22%
26%
52%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 1
UZE
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ROM
1 - 3
NIC
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NIC
1 - 1
CON
66%
20%
13%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
GAR
0 - 1
NIC
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |