Bastia II vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
10º
34
5º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 0
BAS
24%
21%
56%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 0
AJA
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
STG
28%
23%
50%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SAE
2 - 1
BAS
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
AUR
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
IVR
0 - 2
STG
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VTR
2 - 0
IVR
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
IVR
0 - 1
ILE
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
IVR
0 - 0
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ESA
0 - 2
IVR
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |