Bastia II vs Gonfreville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
PAC
44%
25%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
HAZ
1 - 0
BAS
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
ENT
44%
27%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
DIE
0 - 0
BAS
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
EVR
1 - 0
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gonfreville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
GON
0 - 3
CAL
19%
27%
54%
|
25 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
POI
1 - 2
GON
70%
19%
12%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
HAZ
0 - 0
GON
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GON
2 - 0
ENT
24%
26%
50%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +4 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
DIE
4 - 0
GON
68%
20%
13%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |