Bastia II vs Gardanne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SCR
2 - 0
BAS
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 0
VAL
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAS
66%
20%
15%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 0
EPM
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SRA
2 - 0
BAS
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gardanne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
GAR
0 - 1
NIC
25%
26%
49%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
COR
1 - 0
GAR
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ROM
3 - 0
GAR
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
GAR
2 - 0
CON
32%
25%
44%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
GAR
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |