Bastia II vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
29.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 2
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
SEN
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
OIS
0 - 4
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 1
EVR
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
STG
3 - 1
BAS
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 2
FLE
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FLE
2 - 0
EVR
34%
27%
40%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +3 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ROU
2 - 1
FLE
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FLE
3 - 1
PAR
59%
22%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
NOI
0 - 0
FLE
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |