Bastia II vs Evreux 27 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
PAC
0 - 1
BAS
28%
26%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 1
HAZ
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 1
MAR
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 3
BAS
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 1
CHA
48%
24%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Evreux 27
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
EVR
1 - 3
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
EVR
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
EVR
1 - 1
CHA
47%
25%
29%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AAC
4 - 2
EVR
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
EVR
3 - 1
SAI
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |