Bastia II vs Manosque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SRA
2 - 0
BAS
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
BAS
3 - 0
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
NIM
0 - 0
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 3
LEP
21%
25%
54%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 2
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Manosque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
EPM
0 - 0
NIC
28%
26%
46%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
COR
1 - 0
EPM
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
EPM
2 - 0
UZE
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ROM
2 - 2
EPM
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
EPM
0 - 3
CON
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |