Bastia II vs Cournon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
BAS
25%
21%
54%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AUR
3 - 1
BAS
28%
25%
48%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 1
CSL
46%
25%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 3
BOU
46%
23%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SAI
2 - 0
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Cournon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
AVE
4 - 1
COU
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
COU
1 - 1
LIM
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
COU
2 - 3
CSL
21%
24%
56%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
COU
1 - 1
BOR
16%
18%
66%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ILE
1 - 2
COU
61%
20%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |