Bastia II vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
QUE
4 - 2
BAS
31%
22%
47%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 1
SAI
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 2
ARR
33%
26%
40%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
AMI
3 - 1
BAS
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NOI
0 - 0
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
ARR
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NOI
1 - 0
CAL
35%
28%
37%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 0
GRA
68%
20%
13%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AMI
1 - 1
CAL
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |