Bastia II vs Caen PTT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
10º
10º
29
10º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
AJA
1 - 0
BAS
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 2
CHA
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
OIS
1 - 0
BAS
44%
23%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
BAS
2 - 1
ESA
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FBB
2 - 1
BAS
69%
18%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Caen PTT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CAE
1 - 2
BRE
28%
26%
46%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ALE
3 - 2
CAE
55%
22%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
AJA
1 - 1
CAE
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
CAE
0 - 1
CHA
47%
23%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
OIS
3 - 2
CAE
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |