Bastia II vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
BAS
3 - 0
ALE
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
BRE
2 - 1
BAS
54%
22%
25%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 2
CAE
55%
21%
25%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
AJA
1 - 0
BAS
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 2
CHA
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
CAE
2 - 1
AJA
48%
24%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 2
CAE
35%
22%
43%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
CAE
1 - 2
OIS
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ESA
2 - 1
CAE
37%
23%
40%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CAE
2 - 2
FBB
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |