Bastia II vs AG Caennaise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
10º
10º
4
1º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 0
BAS
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 1
FBB
27%
25%
49%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAI
2 - 3
BAS
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 2
BAS
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 0
DIV
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
AG Caennaise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
AGC
1 - 4
CAE
26%
22%
52%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
DIV
0 - 1
AGC
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SAI
5 - 0
AGC
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AGC
1 - 1
GRQ
72%
16%
13%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
UST
4 - 5
AGC
12%
16%
72%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |