Bastia II vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AND
4 - 0
BAS
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
4 - 0
MAC
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
6 - 2
COU
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 0
BAS
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
ECH
4 - 2
BAS
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 1
SAI
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 0
AJA
60%
23%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SUD
1 - 0
AJA
30%
27%
44%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 4
MON
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AJA
4 - 1
COU
36%
24%
39%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |