Bastia Calcio vs Sporting Trestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
50.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 3
PIA
21%
23%
56%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SIE
3 - 1
BAS
78%
17%
6%
|
20 | 77 | 57 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 3
CAS
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MPO
3 - 0
BAS
66%
20%
13%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 3
FLA
24%
23%
53%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 2
MPO
40%
27%
33%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PIA
2 - 2
SPO
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 2
USP
47%
26%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
SPO
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 3
VFC
44%
26%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |