Bastia Calcio vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
21.5%
69%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 0
BAS
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 3
MPO
30%
25%
46%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FLA
3 - 1
BAS
65%
20%
16%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
USP
26%
25%
49%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 2
BAS
74%
17%
9%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MPO
3 - 0
SIE
5%
17%
78%
|
77 | 34 | 43 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 0
PIA
83%
14%
4%
|
77 | 37 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
USP
0 - 0
SIE
5%
17%
77%
|
77 | 37 | 40 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
VFC
1 - 1
SIE
5%
17%
78%
|
77 | 33 | 44 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 1
CAS
77%
17%
6%
|
77 | 35 | 42 | 0 |