Bastia Calcio vs Narnese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
VFC
1 - 0
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 5
PIS
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 1
BAS
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
CAS
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +3 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SPO
4 - 0
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Narnese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ANC
1 - 1
FOL
21%
23%
56%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
ANC
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
FIE
2 - 1
ANC
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ANC
3 - 3
FLA
35%
26%
40%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
PIA
3 - 0
ANC
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |