Bastia Calcio vs Ponsacco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
GRO
1 - 0
BAS
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 3
FOL
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
POM
1 - 1
BAS
56%
20%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 1
MON
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 1
BAS
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
MPO
0 - 2
SER
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 0
MPO
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MPO
3 - 1
SDT
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
MPO
4 - 2
TUT
65%
22%
13%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
GRO
2 - 0
MPO
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |