Bastia Calcio vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VFC
3 - 0
BAS
61%
22%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
GAV
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
BAS
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 4
ARZ
21%
22%
57%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
BAS
71%
18%
12%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 0
SPO
56%
25%
19%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PIA
1 - 2
FOL
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FOL
0 - 0
SIE
6%
20%
73%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
LEC
5 - 0
FOL
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PIS
1 - 1
FOL
59%
23%
19%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |