Bastia Calcio vs Deruta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SCA
2 - 1
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 0
ANC
63%
19%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
VFC
1 - 0
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 5
PIS
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 1
BAS
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
DER
1 - 1
FOL
17%
23%
60%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
DER
71%
18%
12%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
DER
0 - 3
FIE
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
FLA
5 - 2
DER
57%
23%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
JMO
2 - 0
DER
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |