Bastia Calcio vs Gualdo Casacastalda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SPO
4 - 0
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
FLA
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 0
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
PIA
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FIE
1 - 2
BAS
42%
24%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Gualdo Casacastalda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ARZ
4 - 1
CAS
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
SPO
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAS
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 1
FOL
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
DER
0 - 2
CAS
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +2 |