Bastia Calcio vs ASD Pontevecchio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
JMO
1 - 1
BAS
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 3
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VOL
0 - 1
BAS
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
DER
2 - 2
BAS
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 6
OST
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
ASD Pontevecchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ASD
2 - 3
VFC
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 1
ASD
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 3
ARZ
13%
21%
67%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 2
ASD
60%
22%
19%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 2
FOL
21%
24%
55%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |