Bastia Calcio vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
57.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
BAS
71%
18%
12%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 2
SPO
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 0
BAS
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 1
FOL
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PIA
2 - 1
BAS
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ARZ
0 - 1
VFC
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 1
ARZ
30%
26%
45%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
ARZ
29%
27%
45%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ARZ
2 - 0
SPO
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FIE
0 - 5
ARZ
17%
21%
61%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |