Bastendorf vs Wincrange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
6 - 1
RLL
88%
8%
4%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
DCE
3 - 1
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ATE
2 - 1
BAS
56%
21%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 0
JEU
63%
19%
18%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FEU
3 - 1
BAS
52%
22%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Wincrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
WIN
2 - 3
MER
23%
19%
57%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
ERP
4 - 2
WIN
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
JGI
4 - 2
WIN
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
WIN
0 - 2
DCE
31%
21%
49%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
RLL
1 - 2
WIN
11%
16%
74%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |